Bulgaria’s October 2024 elections: Poll sees six-group Parliament

A poll by the Market Links agency, the results of which were released on October 4, sees Bulgaria’s October 27 early parliamentary elections producing a six-group Parliament, though that could change, the pollsters said.

Among those who intend to vote in Bulgaria’s latest parliamentary elections, the seventh in just more than three years, 23.1 per cent intend choosing Boiko Borissov’s centre-right GERB-UDF coalition, according to Market Links.

In second place is the reformist We Continue the Change-Democratic Bulgaria coalition, with 14.1 per cent, followed by pro-Kremlin party Vuzrazhdane with 13.3 per cent.

Movement for Rights and Freedoms founder and honorary president Ahmed Dogan’s Alliance for Rights and Freedoms coalition has 8.4 per cent, Magnitsky Act-sanctioned MRF co-leader Delyan Peevski’s MRF-New Beginning coalition 6.4 per cent and the Bulgarian Socialist Party-United Left coalition 5.4 per cent.

Below the four per cent threshold for a share of seats in the 51st National Assembly are populist party ITN, 3.4 per cent and populist-nationalist party Velichie, 3.2 per cent.

Market Links said that while ITN and Velichie were below the four per cent threshold, that could change.

The agency’s Dobromir Zhivkov said that 20 to 25 per cent of Bulgarians would decide in the last week before the elections who to vote for, and 18 to 20 per cent in the final two days.

Of those polled, 37 per cent said that they intended to vote, 23 per cent were likely to do so, 17 per cent were undecided whether to vote, seven per cent were leaning towards not voting, and 16 per cent said that they were certain that they would not vote.

The poll was financed and carried out jointly by bTV and Market Links and was done among 1011 people over the age of 18 from September 25 to October 1, using the methods of direct personal interviews and online polling.

(Photo: parliament.bg)

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